Morning Consult + Politico Poll DEBUNKED

President Donald J. Trump tweeted today a pie chart of a poll conducted by Politico+Morning Consult that determined that 55% of Americans approved of President Trump’s immigration order, while only 38% disapproved of that order.The question verbatim is as follows.

As you may know, presidents can issue executive orders, a power granted to them by the Constitution. Executive orders are not reviewed by Congress, have the authority of law and are typically used to direct the various agencies or departments under the president to take certain actions. Here are some executive orders that have been signed by President Trump during his first weeks in office. For each of the following, please indicate whether you APPROVE or DISAPPROVE of the executive order. An order prohibiting citizens from seven predominantly Muslim countries from being able to enter the United States for 90 days and halting processing of refugees for 120 days.

Read the bold portion of the above text. This question neglects one of the most important parts of President Trump’s immigration order. The clause of his order that prohibits indefinitely Syrian refugees is not included in the question. Below is the text of the executive order that was not included in the question.

(c)  Pursuant to section 212(f) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1182(f), I hereby proclaim that the entry of nationals of Syria as refugees is detrimental to the interests of the United States and thus suspend any such entry

The Syrian refugee clause is perhaps the most controversial and most despised clause of the entire order. It is also possible that people are against the order when they read about what it has done and read abut it in the news, but when they hear the numbers 90 and 120 days, they think that could do no harm.

Furthermore, I present polls that reach a conclusion contrary to that of the poll cited by the President.

  • A Quinnipiac University poll found that  60% of people surveyed disapprove of the immigration order in question, while 37% approved of it. This poll was reported 10 hours ago as of the date of publishing
  • A Reuters-Ipsos poll found that 26% of those surveyed thought the order made them feel “less safe.” 33% said it would not make any difference to their safety. 31% said they do not feel safer because of the order.
  • a CBS poll showed that 51% of those surveyed disapproved of the order, while 45% approve, according to political news organization The Hill.
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